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even if cause X came along now, people wouldn't be able to update towards it within a year.
it's funny, conditional on AGI (and perhaps also WBE?) not doing us in, i'm pretty bullish on this century. bio seems much less of a problem, and everything else is basically a-okay, especially with people becoming richer and needing to fight less. most other collapse narratives sound pretty unlikely (though prepping is sitll a good idea! you should have three months of food & water at home)
it's funny, conditional on AGI (and perhaps also WBE?) not doing us in, i'm pretty bullish on this century. bio seems much less of a problem, and everything else is basically a-okay, especially with people becoming richer and needing to fight less. most other collapse narratives sound pretty unlikely (though prepping is sitll a good idea! you should have three months of food & water at home)
if aliens exists and UAPs are caused by them, what implication does that have for AI safety?
if aliens exists and UAPs are caused by them, what implication does that have for AI safety?
hoooly crap the tino rangatiratanga is a good flag
hoooly crap the tino rangatiratanga is a good flag
closest pairs of points are not necessarily reflexive. there are some points in euclidean space that are just fundamentally abandoned
closest pairs of points are not necessarily reflexive. there are some points in euclidean space that are just fundamentally abandoned
“perception is all you need” — Rosenblatt, 1958
“perception is all you need” — Rosenblatt, 1958
it'd be deeply ironic if MLPs, sufficiently scaled, are enough for AGI
it'd be deeply ironic if MLPs, sufficiently scaled, are enough for AGI
A machine-executable plan to install a self-supervised reinforcement learning system on all instances of the spot robot from boston dynamics, described step by step | posted on art station
A machine-executable plan to install a self-supervised reinforcement learning system on all instances of the spot robot from boston dynamics, described step by step | posted on art station
our next arecibo message should probably include the orders of the sporadic groups, just to show that we're somewhat advanced as a species.
our next arecibo message should probably include the orders of the sporadic groups, just to show that we're somewhat advanced as a species.
Bayesian jihad
Bayesian jihad
r strategy poster by day, K strategy poster by night
r strategy poster by day, K strategy poster by night
with resolving inconsistent graph preferences, does the portion of non-uniquely resolvable preferences shrink with the number of options? in other words: for the set 𝓖_n of all graphs with n nodes, and the set U(𝓖_n) of those graphs with a unique path-graph with a smallest graph-edit distance, is |U(𝓖_n)|/𝓖_n<|U(𝓖_{n+1})|/|𝓖_{n+1}|?
with resolving inconsistent graph preferences, does the portion of non-uniquely resolvable preferences shrink with the number of options? in other words: for the set 𝓖_n of all graphs with n nodes, and the set U(𝓖_n) of those graphs with a unique path-graph with a smallest graph-edit distance, is |U(𝓖_n)|/𝓖_n<|U(𝓖_{n+1})|/|𝓖_{n+1}|?
Logarithmic well-being views might suffer from an odd problem: They are, in some sense, *too obvious*, so that everyone says “yeah, that seems true” and goes on doing exactly what they did before.
Logarithmic well-being views might suffer from an odd problem: They are, in some sense, *too obvious*, so that everyone says “yeah, that seems true” and goes on doing exactly what they did before.
“AI” refers to the observation that computers, over time, can do more & more things
“AI” refers to the observation that computers, over time, can do more & more things
The name niplav is based on a roof tile of the University of Maryland, which matches the sequence number and neuroscience thread index, which is how neuroscience researchers manage their data.
The name niplav is based on a roof tile of the University of Maryland, which matches the sequence number and neuroscience thread index, which is how neuroscience researchers manage their data.
“Dodecahedron Assemblies was the publication I chose to read on my way to heaven”—apparently Uriel has managed to gain short contact via the Gato agent.
“Dodecahedron Assemblies was the publication I chose to read on my way to heaven”—apparently Uriel has managed to gain short contact via the Gato agent.
I really look forward to the next AI winter! We'll all cozy up inside by the fireside in thick markov blankets, everyone finds a new agent foundations paper in their stocking, and we can listen to uncle Paul have his discussion with uncle Eliezer when the whole family re-unites…
I really look forward to the next AI winter! We'll all cozy up inside by the fireside in thick markov blankets, everyone finds a new agent foundations paper in their stocking, and we can listen to uncle Paul have his discussion with uncle Eliezer when the whole family re-unites…
niplav yushtun, ta faret ne digal.
niplav yushtun, ta faret ne digal.
longevity research is trying to move an outer loss signal into the inner optimizer, we'll have to see whether that one is strong enough to take up the burden
longevity research is trying to move an outer loss signal into the inner optimizer, we'll have to see whether that one is strong enough to take up the burden
update: invoking cultural evolution as an explanation is most of the time tenuous, see https://www.gwern.net/Backstop#artificial-persons: “cultures or groups are rarely driven extinct, with most large-scale ones persisting for millennia; such ‘natural selection’ on the group-level is only tenuously linked to the many thousands of distinct practices & beliefs that make up these cultures; and these cultures mutate rapidly as fads and visions and stories and neighboring cultures and new technologies all change over time”
knuckle tatoos: “nplv site”, “ttra spce”, “less wrng”
knuckle tatoos: “nplv site”, “ttra spce”, “less wrng”
The Lightgirl of the Gate
The Lightgirl of the Gate
DALL·E 2 prompts: The Gateboss of the Girlkeep
DALL·E 2 prompts: The Gateboss of the Girlkeep
Have you considered that removing Occam's razor from your worldview makes the worldview simpler?
Have you considered that removing Occam's razor from your worldview makes the worldview simpler?
the buddha vector is calculated by finding the path in the space of possible attractors that maximizes the number of attractors it could fall into with an ε perturbation, but falls into none.
the buddha vector is calculated by finding the path in the space of possible attractors that maximizes the number of attractors it could fall into with an ε perturbation, but falls into none.
vibe computing
vibe computing
https://thenextweb.com/neural/2021/01/10/heres-how-openais-magical-dall-e-generates-images-from-text-syndication/
wait, DALL·E is capable of solving Raven's Matrices tests‽
it's astonishing how often people violate the same basic fucking heuristics, such as DON'T SLEEP WITH YOUR DHARMA STUDENTS, or DON'T SLEEP WITH YOUR DHARMA TEACHERS. really makes you think there's an underlying pattern there. or smth idk
Were you surprised by the capabilities of AlphaGo?
polls: Were you surprised by the capabilities of DALL·E 2? Were you surprised by the capabilities of PaLM (or however that's capitalized)? Were you (back then) surprised by the capabilities of GPT-3?
brb replacing all occurrences of “eigen” with “sein” in a linear algebra textbook.
humans-in-the-loop exploring reinforcement
humans-in-the-loop reinforcement
Don Knuth really really wants to write a long site and not books. I mean…just take a look at them!
Don Knuth really really wants to write a long site and not books. I mean…just take a look at them!
God exists, and she is a woman 😏
God exists, and she is a woman 😏
why am i just now finding out about examine.com this is pretty cool
why am i just now finding out about examine.com this is pretty cool
in retrospect, i do remember expecting some message about “yes, you passed the test, you were actually living in a lie”, but i think that died when nobody gave me a bad grade for taking too long to become vegetarian. maybe veganism…
in retrospect, i do remember expecting some message about “yes, you passed the test, you were actually living in a lie”, but i think that died when nobody gave me a bad grade for taking too long to become vegetarian. maybe veganism…
we can also make value of perfect information a shorter word, vopi. or voi for just value of information.
we can also make value of perfect information a shorter word, vopi. or voi for just value of information.
induction, abduction, deduction, transduction, traduction, seduction, adduction, eduction, reduction, contraduction
induction, abduction, deduction, transduction, traduction, seduction, adduction, eduction, reduction, contraduction
i think eliezer wanted micatwoa to take place in a world that was even more insane than here for us to more clearly see what's wrong with our world, and the only way he could come up to accomplish that was to make the story take place in actual hell.
i think eliezer wanted micatwoa to take place in a world that was even more insane than here for us to more clearly see what's wrong with our world, and the only way he could come up to accomplish that was to make the story take place in actual hell.
“i'll stop reading at 1:30” this is your internal agents coordinating
“i'll stop reading at 1:30” this is your internal agents coordinating
saying “somebody should do X” repeatedly while apparently also not doing that thing (while also not being blocked by anything, such as doing something else that's also important) ought to be discouraged.
saying “somebody should do X” repeatedly while apparently also not doing that thing (while also not being blocked by anything, such as doing something else that's also important) ought to be discouraged.
now that must be a pretty impressive shirt i guess
now that must be a pretty impressive shirt i guess
when you convert all your money into assets stored on the blockchain while you go into cryopreservation in an underground bunker—literally crypt-o-currency
when you convert all your money into assets stored on the blockchain while you go into cryopreservation in an underground bunker—literally crypt-o-currency
comment quality in /r/rational worse than on LW
comment quality in /r/rational worse than on LW
just downloaded micatwoa html files inshallah
just downloaded micatwoa html files inshallah
menchbarks
menchbarks
what is the MNIST of education interventions? what the ImageNet? what the Danbooru 2021‽
what is the MNIST of education interventions? what the ImageNet? what the Danbooru 2021‽"
what is the MNIST of education interventions? what the ImageNet? what the Danbooru 2021‽
Statisticians: NOoooooo you can't execute a t-test on elements from a Likert scale! Psychologists: Hah NHST go brrrrrrrrr
Statisticians: NOoooooo you can't execute a t-test on elements from a Likert scale! Psychologists: Hah NHST go brrrrrrrrr
pickup artistry is incredibly feminine: if you were masculine, women would come to you anyway
pickup artistry is incredibly feminine: if you were masculine, women would come to you anyway
what the hell my phone gives me tracers in the dark if i move it
what the hell my phone gives me tracers in the dark if i move it
the elegance of zeppelines is sublimp
the elegance of zeppelines is sublimp
my watch has been running for ~5 years now, and I've never had to change the battery. wow.~
my watch has been running for ~5 years now, and I've never had to change the battery. wow.~
some blogs have a “start here” page that is not the default landing page: why? most people visiting your site will be there for the first time, but they have to perform an additional click to go to the “start here” page, unnecessarily.