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“i can't do *that*! that would be weird” — real inadequacy hours
the problem with civilizational sanity interventions is that you have to go through an awful low of known insanity before hitting any new interesting insanity
is it therefore strategically better to not try to drive people *out of crypto*, but trying to drive good people into crypto? as a sandbox for civilizational sanity interventions (https://musingsandroughdrafts.wordpress.com/2021/03/24/my-current-high-level-strategic-picture-of-the-world/index.html)
the downside of crypto seems quite limited, much more than the upside of crypto is limited (though conditions apply)
niplavistan has no advertising, but if it had, things would be advertised by “made by a machine”, and “handmade” would be a bad property for an object to have
minimal case for blockchains: right now a class of very select people has a monopoly on creating & testing enforceable governance mechanisms. also, these enforceable governance mechanisms are often underspecified: it's often not clear how to apply them, leading to corruption in ambiguous cases. DAOs (and in general distributedly running unchangeable code) are avenues to perform many different such experiments—the cost of starting a DAO is *far* less than starting a new country, and it's completely voluntary!
armed fetuses (“hands”)
it's crazy how we basically haven't tested nuclear weapons in ~30 years~
it's crazy how we basically haven't tested nuclear weapons in ~30 years~
how much did large volcano eruptions in the past change agricultural output?
how much did large volcano eruptions in the past change agricultural output?
you know that you've made it when you're using fermi estimates to debug your rl agent.
you know that you've made it when you're using fermi estimates to debug your rl agent.
rationality is having strong opinions about things nobody has ever thought about before.
rationality is having strong opinions about things nobody has ever thought about before.
lipogrammatic pangram
lipogrammatic pangram
found spicy khmer waltz vexed quagga jacob (Mr. Jock, TV quiz PhD, bags few lynx)
found spicy khmer waltz vexed quagga jacob (Mr. Jock, TV quiz PhD, bags few lynx)
extra spicy bunns
extra spicy bunns
naxus
naxus
foqed
foqed
jokez
jokez
ezafu
ezafu
jarns
jarns
janus
janus
mozed
mozed
bouge
bouge
foofe
foofe
boxem
boxem
neither is warez
neither is warez
qream
qream
spicy wheat found
spicy wheat found
oofed not in the absurdle word list, even though it's the reaction i have the most when playing it
oofed not in the absurdle word list, even though it's the reaction i have the most when playing it
“if enough of us listen to prophets of doom, it becomes self-fulfilling” — Leo Szilard
“if enough of us listen to prophets of doom, it becomes self-fulfilling” — Leo Szilard
pressman being another taxxon fan is a delightful finding
pressman being another taxxon fan is a delightful finding
if your eag profile doesn't say 'neartermism', you'll automatically be drafted into the deepmind potential hires mailing list
if your eag profile doesn't say 'neartermism', you'll automatically be drafted into the deepmind potential hires mailing list
“The problem with Marcus' argument is that the only alternative to statistical AI is spiritual AI“ no what the fuck why would you say this did you even read the sequences i don't even know where to start with that
“The problem with Marcus' argument is that the only alternative to statistical AI is spiritual AI“ no what the fuck why would you say this did you even read the sequences i don't even know where to start with that
holy fuck were ACX comments always this bad? most of them are fucking atrocious. like, barely tolerable.
holy fuck were ACX comments always this bad? most of them are fucking atrocious. like, barely tolerable.
at least i'm up to a level where i'm reading a comment on an acx post and someone uses “consciousness” and i'm hella out there real quick
at least i'm up to a level where i'm reading a comment on an acx post and someone uses “consciousness” and i'm hella out there real quick
to what extent did AlphaFold2 solve protein folding? there should be a writeup of how much & what needs to be done for it to be completely solved.
to what extent did AlphaFold2 solve protein folding? there should be a writeup of how much & what needs to be done for it to be completely solved.
wait, is CIRL incorrigible *for the same reason* that utility-maximizers don't wirehead? https://niplav.github.io/notes.html#A-Short-Example-For-Why-CIRL-Is-Incorrigible
wait, is CIRL incorrigible *for the same reason* that utility-maximizers don't wirehead? https://niplav.github.io/notes.html#A-Short-Example-For-Why-CIRL-Is-Incorrigible
solarpunk slightly hindered by the fact that for solar panels and cutesy robots you need industrial-strength chipfabs that are so advanced we have like 6 of them in the entire world
solarpunk slightly hindered by the fact that for solar panels and cutesy robots you need industrial-strength chipfabs that are so advanced we have like 6 of them in the entire world
a “moron” could also be a group-theoretic structure. “On the symplectic inverses of left-invariant morons”
a “moron” could also be a group-theoretic structure. “On the symplectic inverses of left-invariant morons”
morad and moroid
morad and moroid
watching my motivational system surfing the edge of the indefference point on the hyperbolic discounting line—always pulled back by my good friend, the cost
watching my motivational system surfing the edge of the indefference point on the hyperbolic discounting line—always pulled back by my good friend, the cost
once i've found a core to corrigibility i'll write an incel manifesto
once i've found a core to corrigibility i'll write an incel manifesto
ai alignment is great bc nobody knows what it should be, so you can do whatever you want and call it alignment.
ai alignment is great bc nobody knows what it should be, so you can do whatever you want and call it alignment.
some people just shouldn't be given the responsibility to create datasets.
some people just shouldn't be given the responsibility to create datasets.
i want to commit violence
i want to commit violence
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ARE YOU FOR REAL
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH ARE YOU FOR REAL
……………Tetlock data uses AMERICAN DATE FORMAT IN A DATASET
……………Tetlock data uses AMERICAN DATE FORMAT IN A DATASET
lw karma political compass
lw karma political compass
the cold waste of unknown en-pyee
the cold waste of unknown en-pyee
the words “brier score” are used inconsistently: sometimes they just refer to the MSE of the probability assigned to the correct outcome, sometimes they refer to the MSE of the sum of the probability assigned to the correct and the incorrect outcome.
the words “brier score” are used inconsistently: sometimes they just refer to the MSE of the probability assigned to the correct outcome, sometimes they refer to the MSE of the sum of the probability assigned to the correct and the incorrect outcome.
retconning my inner child
retconning my inner child
“The geological study of Antarctica has been greatly hindered by nearly all of the continent being permanently covered with a thick layer of ice.”
“The geological study of Antarctica has been greatly hindered by nearly all of the continent being permanently covered with a thick layer of ice.”
is the “takeoff” of fundamental physics in the first half of the 20th century mostly due to the industrial revolution?
is the “takeoff” of fundamental physics in the first half of the 20th century mostly due to the industrial revolution?
goal: develop strong opinions about vector fields and where to stick wires into people's heads.
goal: develop strong opinions about vector fields and where to stick wires into people's heads.
even if cause X came along now, people wouldn't be able to update towards it within a year.