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I'd hate to be the baby strapped to Voyager 1
there are actually six hindrances: the original five and thinking about how to practically dovetail the shortest brainfuck quine
there are actually six hindrances: the original five and thinking about how to practically dovetail the shortest brainfuck quine
rationalist meditation retreat: listening to Replacing Guilt as a dharma talk
rationalist meditation retreat: listening to Replacing Guilt as a dharma talk
Todo: become an anti-recycling fanatic at some point
Todo: become an anti-recycling fanatic at some point
I'm actually not that big a fan of most uses of “prior”/“posterior”: Nearly every credence you have is both a prior and a posterior, at different points in time. You were born with priors embedded in your genome, and you created posteriors from those with observations. but those posteriors became priors in the next update step. so the only credences you had that were only priors were the ones you had at birth (I might make exceptions for things that you have no explicit belief on, as in “huh, I hadn't thought about that problem. I guess my prior here is […]“), and the only credences that are only posteriors are the credences you have now.
Maybe just not have your search space contain Turing complete elements?
Maybe just not have your search space contain Turing complete elements?
Anyone else wanna laugh at millennials when they realize they have gotten old?
Anyone else wanna laugh at millennials when they realize they have gotten old?
80,000 hours podcast but it's only Rob Wiblin speaking. Useful for voice synthesis.
80,000 hours podcast but it's only Rob Wiblin speaking. Useful for voice synthesis.
Planecrash but just the dath ilan bits
Planecrash but just the dath ilan bits
Retaking an airplane after terrorist takeover is a coordination problem
Retaking an airplane after terrorist takeover is a coordination problem
You may start century time horizon projects
You may start century time horizon projects
Playing hard to get imposes costs on other actually impossible to get players.
Playing hard to get imposes costs on other actually impossible to get players.
Why not focus on getting old LessWrongers to work on alignment instead of students? They might not be as skilled technically, but they probably have much deeper & well formed intuitions around the problem.
Why not focus on getting old LessWrongers to work on alignment instead of students? They might not be as skilled technically, but they probably have much deeper & well formed intuitions around the problem.
Concepts: Semiquine (a program that only outputs its code, but never halts); prefixquine (program that outputs its code, but something after that). Trivial other versions are postfixquine, substringquine, prefixsemiquine.
Concepts: Semiquine (a program that only outputs its code, but never halts); prefixquine (program that outputs its code, but something after that). Trivial other versions are postfixquine, substringquine, prefixsemiquine.
“I assume that not everything that can improve my thinking is found in The Sequences.”
“I assume that not everything that can improve my thinking is found in The Sequences.”
put an epistemic status on a thing you're really confident in, once in a while.
put an epistemic status on a thing you're really confident in, once in a while.
reaching exalted meditation states is not important per se, but that you have ample material to learn not clinging to.
reaching exalted meditation states is not important per se, but that you have ample material to learn not clinging to.
dvorak edm remix which is actually good
dvorak edm remix which is actually good
taking the pledge to become 10% less misogynistic
taking the pledge to become 10% less misogynistic
now is a good time to sit back and read
now is a good time to sit back and read
topics i will never research: how the prussian military inventing boardgames with dice to train military strategists influenced modern eurogames and not amerigames
topics i will never research: how the prussian military inventing boardgames with dice to train military strategists influenced modern eurogames and not amerigames
It seems quite unlikely to me that humans will cease to care about wealth after the singularity (15% maybe?), or that markets will cease to exist after the singularity (30% or sth). so the best investment strategy now for post-singularity scenarios is to invest broadly in the economy. not sure about divesting from AGI companies (bc they accelerate danger) or AI hardware companies (ditto)—they're going to especially valuable post-singularity.
It seems quite unlikely to me that humans will cease to care about wealth after the singularity (15% maybe?), or that markets will cease to exist after the singularity (30% or sth). so the best investment strategy now for post-singularity scenarios is to invest broadly in the economy. not sure about divesting from AGI companies (bc they accelerate danger) or AI hardware companies (ditto)—they're going to especially valuable post-singularity.
from now on, when talking about fractions, i will only use the terms “upper number” and “lower number”. those both have fewer syllables AND they're vastly easier to understand. Thank you for coming to my TED talk.
from now on, when talking about fractions, i will only use the terms “upper number” and “lower number”. those both have fewer syllables AND they're vastly easier to understand. Thank you for coming to my TED talk.
I have an intuition that publicly wondering about whether $SPECIFC_PERSON is a psychopath would be positive EV
a quokka the size & strength of a bear
possible neat LW features: polls, give probabilities for attendance for events
survey: spend 100h on: reading quanta mag archives OR do metaculus predictions OR compile a sequence for semitheoretical group rationality on LW OR work on forecasting dataset library OR read some super fucked-up papers (e.g. Principia Qualia and Multiverse-Wide Cooperation Via Correlated Decision Making and the Grabby Aliens paper and Ultimate Physical Limits to Computation)
googling ‘how to talk to people when you believe everybody is going to die within the next ten years’
people don't understand this, but the end of the world is, in fact, nigh.
ought stopped developing ergo :-(
you need to be wgetting. you need to be curlmaxxing. github.io shall fear your IP address; the HDD flying in&out of your laptop like in a spinning jenny. you need to be blocked by gnxp.com. let the examine.com servers burn. you need to
You shuffle a file with 55k lines and print one line. It's the fourth last line.
CGP grey is basically an honorary german
libsucker. rolls of the tongue
libsucker. rolls of the tongue
all the cool kids? in the bay. me? chillin'
all the cool kids? in the bay. me? chillin'
HAHAHAHAHAA IT'S FEBRUARY 2020 ALL OVER AGAIN HAHAHAHA
HAHAHAHAHAA IT'S FEBRUARY 2020 ALL OVER AGAIN HAHAHAHA
solution to the fermi paradox: ~all species don't have nerds bc nerds are locally maladaptive, get stuck at the social reality bullshit level, humans are a fluke in the regard (kindness to kin, but for…, uhh, nerds?)~
solution to the fermi paradox: ~all species don't have nerds bc nerds are locally maladaptive, get stuck at the social reality bullshit level, humans are a fluke in the regard (kindness to kin, but for…, uhh, nerds?)~
i think in practice people were most convinced by timelines, if not arguments, then observations abt progress.
i think in practice people were most convinced by timelines, if not arguments, then observations abt progress.
using subscripts for probability assignments?
using subscripts for probability assignments?
malign prior as an idealized case of meta-optimization
malign prior as an idealized case of meta-optimization
lw events should give one the ability to report probabilities
lw events should give one the ability to report probabilities
did women really faint that often in the past? if yes, what changed so they don't anymore?
did women really faint that often in the past? if yes, what changed so they don't anymore?
the new chinchilla scaling laws were not what I expected
the new chinchilla scaling laws were not what I expected
whenever someone denies something, nod my head sagely and say “glomarizing nicely, I see.”
whenever someone denies something, nod my head sagely and say “glomarizing nicely, I see.”
shoutout to the woman that broke my heart so that I now read papers titled stuff like “Multiverse-wide Cooperation via Correlated Decision Making”
shoutout to the woman that broke my heart so that I now read papers titled stuff like “Multiverse-wide Cooperation via Correlated Decision Making”
HOW DO THOSE PEOPLE READ SO MUCH
HOW DO THOSE PEOPLE READ SO MUCH
that probably relies on a bunch of interpretability work done beforehand
that probably relies on a bunch of interpretability work done beforehand
todo: find a way to track ontology shifts in neural networks
todo: find a way to track ontology shifts in neural networks
me reading planecrash is unstable bc while reading it I become so enthusiastic about reading textbooks that I go off and do that instead
me reading planecrash is unstable bc while reading it I become so enthusiastic about reading textbooks that I go off and do that instead
just thought to myself “hopefully a bigger pandemic hits, that sounds like it'll delay ai capabilities progres”, which, no,,,
just thought to myself “hopefully a bigger pandemic hits, that sounds like it'll delay ai capabilities progres”, which, no,,,