# I am the Watcher. I am your guide through this vast new twtiverse.
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how secure are the svalbard global seed vault and the Arctic World Archive? might it be useful for EAs to work for them?
nnn that ends with a wimper, not with a bang
The Honeycomb Conjecture was probably the longest-standing open conjecture in the history of mathematics. Open for 2035 years, if Wikipedia is to believed
The Honeycomb Conjecture was probably the longest-standing open conjecture in the history of mathematics. Open for 2035 years, if Wikipedia is to believed
predict yourself as if you're a well-meaning but very unreliable friend of yourself
predict yourself as if you're a well-meaning but very unreliable friend of yourself
futuristic city image “the world if all externalities were internalized”
futuristic city image “the world if all externalities were internalized”
bell curve meme with books with/without pictures
how much has EA looked into peak fertilizer and antibiotic resistance?
the variance in likeability is not as high over text
related: I really like having good personal relations with people from the radical left while also being openly EA and very much not leftist. feels like a good step towards coalitions forged between mostly orthogonal sozio-political camps
slightly less of a problem when I think of them purely as a resource.
it's kind of alarming how often my willingness to carefully listen to a person's arguments boils down to how much i like them personally
who'd believed that I'd become a bioleninist in my old days
the alleged woke decline of Wikipedia has been greatly exaggerated.
ah! other option: begging is a very flexible occupation: yoou don't need to regularly be at a certain place at a certain time, and noone is bossing you around. so you beg when you need to, and do whatever else otherwise. which brings up a further question: what do beggars spend their time on? do they beg most of their waking time or do they only beg for short bursts?
~all situations where i can't work and have to resort to begging probably lead to me dying. i think. counterexamples might include having been convicted of a crime and being unemployable, i guess?~
Despite what everyone's saying Morfydd is a badass name.
I'm confused about beggars. I imagine that for me begging is *much harder*than most other kinds of work. Is it just that some people have that little aversion to approaching thousands of people and asking for money and that much aversion to any other kind of work? Or is it instead sheer necessity: Beggars can't work for whatever reason but still walk & talk, so they beg instead? Or is the real reason just rarity of jobs: You can *always beg*, but jobs are scarce.
the kabbalistic implications of Derek Parfit's name are not to be understated
I aspire to such levels of confidence
julia nonchalantly eats a whopping 700MB like it's a slice of Gaudamer
gender ratio to sex ratio
“There's many nice women in the EA community–” ”Yeah, there's also a bunch of gold on Neptune.”
Marr's computational level should be called the “functional” level—since functions are really just concerned with mappings
have problem → pay attention → ??? → problem solved
open-source game theory is apparently “game theory with translucent players” in the academic literature
meetups ostensibly about X should actually about X, not fucking/partying/status games/etc
killing moloch is not glorious, it's just tedious.
killing moloch is not glorious, it's just tedious.
interpretability can ~re-create more discrete alignment methods over a leaky abstraction~
interpretability can ~re-create more discrete alignment methods over a leaky abstraction~
maybe social constructivism is just descriptive in how most social scientists create their theories?
maybe social constructivism is just descriptive in how most social scientists create their theories?
possible also with other media, but practiced less often
a lot of the value of reading attentively (as opposed to skimming or listening to audiobooks) is the mesa-skill of paying close attention and noticing when you didn't read something carefully—attentive reading, at its best, is deliberate practice for gears-level thinking
it's probably better as a meditator to focus on sensations in the belly instead of the nostrils—it's easier and makes progress seem faster, which motivates
what's the entomology of that?
what's the entomology of that?
gratitude should be a brahmavihara, not upekkha
gratitude should be a brahmavihara, not upekkha
{adequate,¬adequate}×{exploitable,¬exploitable}×{efficient,¬efficient}
{adequate,¬adequate}×{exploitable,¬exploitable}×{efficient,¬efficient}
public relations is a reality-masking puzzle.
public relations is a reality-masking puzzle.
actual nazise talk about moloch a lot
actual nazis talk about moloch a lot
actual nazis talk about moloch a lot
i care about the instantiation of human values in the universe, not about whether humanity reaches the stars
i care about the instantiation of human values in the universe, not about whether humanity reaches the stars
“citta” should probably just be translated as “psyche”
“citta” should probably just be translated as “psyche”
tension between markets & hacker æsthetic: markets want competition (same thing is done often, separately, with lots of turnover), while hackers want things to be done once and well, with high maintenance (canonical resources)
tension between markets & hacker æsthetic: markets want competition (same thing is done often, separately, with lots of turnover), while hackers want things to be done once and well, with high maintenance (canonical resources)
could MDMA microdosing help me get into the 2nd jhana?
could MDMA microdosing help me get into the 2nd jhana?
new cause area: buy 0day exploits
new cause area: buy 0day exploits
on priors, if you want to impact the world, found a religion or start a company.
on priors, if you want to impact the world, found a religion or start a company.
/r/gonewildstories will compliment vogon poetry, it seems
/r/gonewildstories will compliment vogon poetry, it seems
It's impossible to tell whether he's good or not
It's impossible to tell whether he's good or not
Yudkowsky moved AI alignment research forward by 4 years, but he also sped up timelines by 2.5 years, so it all cancels out
Yudkowsky moved AI alignment research forward by 4 years, but he also sped up timelines by 2.5 years, so it all cancels out
soft (rigidity), soft (texture)
soft (rigidity), soft (texture)
Angels from Dr. Who but everytime you look away there's new AI capabilities progress
Angels from Dr. Who but everytime you look away there's new AI capabilities progress
Most zero-sum games are actually negative-sum games, because of transaction costs
Most zero-sum games are actually negative-sum games, because of transaction costs
It's not fair! The graph was supposed to peak in 2047, not 2028!
It's not fair! The graph was supposed to peak in 2047, not 2028!
pet peeve: line-splitting in an ff ligature
pet peeve: line-splitting in an ff ligature
I'd hate to be the baby strapped to Voyager 1
I'd hate to be the baby strapped to Voyager 1
there are actually six hindrances: the original five and thinking about how to practically dovetail the shortest brainfuck quine
there are actually six hindrances: the original five and thinking about how to practically dovetail the shortest brainfuck quine
rationalist meditation retreat: listening to Replacing Guilt as a dharma talk
rationalist meditation retreat: listening to Replacing Guilt as a dharma talk
Todo: become an anti-recycling fanatic at some point
Todo: become an anti-recycling fanatic at some point
I'm actually not that big a fan of most uses of “prior”/“posterior”: Nearly every credence you have is both a prior and a posterior, at different points in time. You were born with priors embedded in your genome, and you created posteriors from those with observations. but those posteriors became priors in the next update step. so the only credences you had that were only priors were the ones you had at birth (I might make exceptions for things that you have no explicit belief on, as in “huh, I hadn't thought about that problem. I guess my prior here is […]“), and the only credences that are only posteriors are the credences you have now.
Maybe just not have your search space contain Turing complete elements?
Maybe just not have your search space contain Turing complete elements?
Anyone else wanna laugh at millennials when they realize they have gotten old?
Anyone else wanna laugh at millennials when they realize they have gotten old?
80,000 hours podcast but it's only Rob Wiblin speaking. Useful for voice synthesis.
80,000 hours podcast but it's only Rob Wiblin speaking. Useful for voice synthesis.