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@adi "@niplav Your reasoning is that if Zeus would create mistresses he would create _too many_ people?" -> Nope, that he wouldn't be able to control them (since they are only slightly less powerful than him), and “you cannot put down what you have conjured up”
Skolem constants are just Skolem functions of arity 0, they have no universal quantifiers around them.
maybe gods have the problem that they only can create beings slightly weaker than themselves, so they don't create as much as they would want to (this would be the reason why Zeus rapes/seduces random women and doesn't just create mistresses – the mistresses might build a coalition & turn against him\n
maybe gods have the problem that they only can create beings slightly weaker than themselves, so they don't create as much as they would want to (this would be the reason why Zeus rapes/seduces random women and doesn't just create mistresses – the mistresses might build a coalition & turn against him\n2021-03-30T09:11:10.000000Z\tSkolem constants are just Skolem functions of arity 0, they have no universal quantifiers around them.\n2021-03-31T22:29:59.000000Z\t@https://twtxt.net/user/adi/twtxt.txt> "@niplav Your reasoning is that if Zeus would create mistresses he would create _too many_ people?" -> Nope, that he wouldn't be able to control them (since they are only slightly less powerful than him), and “you cannot put down what you have conjured up”
maybe gods have the problem that they only can create beings slightly weaker than themselves, so they don't create as much as they would want to (this would be the reason why Zeus rapes/seduces random women and doesn't just create mistresses – the mistresses might build a coalition & turn against him
"@niplav (#kfgri5a) There are no expectations when you're honest. Expectations and honesty don't mix." -> I honestly wasn't expecting _that_ answer :)
"@niplav (#kfgri5a) There are no expectations when you're honest. Expectations and honesty don't mix." -> I honestly wasn't expecting _that_ answer :)
before awakening: basic inframeasure theory. after awakening: advanced inframeasure theory.
enlightenment as a road to reductionism
subsumption lattices in the water supply
That way, you can create pockets of honesty, while still succeeding when dishonesty is necessary.
Be as honest to other people as you expect them to be to you.
the mental motion that is equivalent to the physical motion you make when you expel residual fluid out of your urethra
@jlj "@niplav (#xvbnyma) Fascinating. :-) Suspect #RMS would have a violent physical reaction -- accompanied by some salty language -- after even a moment's contemplation of life under such complicity. :-D" -> He is a very unreasonable man <3
@jlj "@niplav (#xvbnyma) Fascinating. :-) Suspect #RMS would have a violent physical reaction -- accompanied by some salty language -- after even a moment's contemplation of life under such complicity. :-D" -> He is a very unreasonable man <3
epistemic status: taking semi-jokes seriously) “irrationalism” would be a much much better name than “rationalism”: it sounds more humble (and this _is_ important to the outside world, name not yet taken, and it carries in it a very central point of bayrat thinking (namely, that humans are extremely irrational). Other idea: “adrationalism”: “towards rationality”
RMS would have been well advised to learn some Kolmogorov complicity – unfortunately he's more on the Kantorovich side, and hadn't gotten bitten as hard before
@alip "We are calling for Richard M. Stallman to be removed from all leadership positions, including the GNU Project. https://rms-open-letter.github.io/" highly contextual/simulacrous memeplexes exclude high-variance impact neuroatypicals, nobody thinks about incentives?
@alip "We are calling for Richard M. Stallman to be removed from all leadership positions, including the GNU Project. https://rms-open-letter.github.io/" highly contextual/simulacrous memeplexes exclude high-variance impact neuroatypicals, nobody thinks about incentives?
Chapman's sites are wonderfully wgettable
Impossible → God can't do. But what about: God doesn't want → Impossible
i think that this becomes a bigger issue with more options in a survey?
i think that this becomes a bigger issue with more options in a survey?
for this reason, don't expect consistent opinions from the percentages in survey results!
for this reason, don't expect consistent opinions from the percentages in survey results!
i think one can't really infer inconsistencies from survey data all that often (as in “n% of people think X, and m% of people think y, but those are incompatible”). if n% of people say X (m% say Y), and 100-n% of people say ¬X (and 100-m% say ¬Y), and X and Y are incompatible, then the groups that say X and Y only must overlap with (X-50)+(Y-50) percent, which is often not that much.
i think one can't really infer inconsistencies from survey data all that often (as in “n% of people think X, and m% of people think y, but those are incompatible”). if n% of people say X (m% say Y), and 100-n% of people say ¬X (and 100-m% say ¬Y), and X and Y are incompatible, then the groups that say X and Y only must overlap with (X-50)+(Y-50) percent, which is often not that much.
@(frogorbits.com) "@niplav Seems like most of the (radical) life extension people are interested in adding years to their lives, but agnostic about adding life to their years. “Be old longer” doesn’t appeal to a lot of people." -> I disagree, the people who i know that are interested in life extension look to me more engaged in life than the ones who are not (though that hinges on definitions of ”adding life to their years”). i agree that “adding life to your years” is underappreciated, though.
@(frogorbits.com) "@niplav Seems like most of the (radical) life extension people are interested in adding years to their lives, but agnostic about adding life to their years. “Be old longer” doesn’t appeal to a lot of people." -> I disagree, the people who i know that are interested in life extension look to me more engaged in life than the ones who are not (though that hinges on definitions of ”adding life to their years”). i agree that “adding life to your years” is underappreciated, though.
@(frogorbits.com) I hope that didn't come off too mean :-/
@(frogorbits.com) I hope that didn't come off too mean :-/
frogorbits.com I hope that didn't come off too mean :-/
@(frogorbits.com) @niplav "I sign a lot less stuff these days now that my phone can pretend to be a credit card. Also: an impostor with a quantum computer can’t pretend to sign documents on my behalf…" -> It's good that pen signatures are completely unfakeable. They're unbelievably reliable. We can't just copy & photoshop around the edges. Better worry about those definitely-soon-to-exist quantum computers that might crack cryptography.
@(frogorbits.com) @niplav "I sign a lot less stuff these days now that my phone can pretend to be a credit card. Also: an impostor with a quantum computer can’t pretend to sign documents on my behalf…" -> It's good that pen signatures are completely unfakeable. They're unbelievably reliable. We can't just copy & photoshop around the edges. Better worry about those definitely-soon-to-exist quantum computers that might crack cryptography.
frogorbits.com @niplav "I sign a lot less stuff these days now that my phone can pretend to be a credit card. Also: an impostor with a quantum computer can’t pretend to sign documents on my behalf…" -> It's good that pen signatures are completely unfakeable. They're unbelievably reliable. We can't just copy & photoshop around the edges. Better worry about those definitely-soon-to-exist quantum computers that might crack cryptography.
look att me! Im Moldbug! I want to appoint $PROGRESSIVE_ICON as king/queen!
look at me! Im Moldbug! I want to appoint $PROGRESSIVE_ICON as king/queen!
look at me! Im Moldbug! I want to appoint $PROGRESSIVE_ICON as king/queen!
it's fascinating (and by that i mean dumb) that we still use signatures written with pens to sign documents instead of signing them with private keys like civilized people.
when forecasting, babble 10 unexpected things that might derail the forecast
when forecasting, babble 10 unexpected things that might derail the forecast
e.g. editing a text – I thought i was done with it!
e.g. editing a text – I thought i was done with it!
aversion to carrying out actions that increase my prediction error
aversion to carrying out actions that increase my prediction error
@adi "I usually seen the opposite. Women are more interested in longevity and happy that studies show that they live more than men." -> I probably could have been clearer: It seems to me that women are on average much less interested in life-extension (methods beyond usual health advice such as the old “exercise, eat vegetables”) than men. This might just be founder/sampling bias (life extension comes out of the relatively male dominated libertarian/techno-optimist cluster). Actually, maybe there's just a variance thing here: median man cares less about his longevity than the median woman, but the variance for men is higher.
@adi "I usually seen the opposite. Women are more interested in longevity and happy that studies show that they live more than men." -> I probably could have been clearer: It seems to me that women are on average much less interested in life-extension (methods beyond usual health advice such as the old “exercise, eat vegetables”) than men. This might just be founder/sampling bias (life extension comes out of the relatively male dominated libertarian/techno-optimist cluster). Actually, maybe there's just a variance thing here: median man cares less about his longevity than the median woman, but the variance for men is higher.
@jlj "A good read: Why I find longtermism hard -- […]" -> Interesting! I don't particularly share that emotional intuition (although my bias probably cuts the other way: I am more moved by interesting projects, and more interesting problems probably also less neglected)–I generally find most problems other people find salient not very moving at all (although probably equally strongly moved by extremely near suffering compared to other people, but with a stronger emotional distance discount). EA makes sense in a very different way to me (phenomenologically, probably closest to philosophical high valence states it evokes).
@jlj "A good read: Why I find longtermism hard -- \n" -> Interesting! I don't particularly share that emotional intuition (although my bias probably cuts the other way: I am more moved by interesting projects, and more interesting problems probably also less neglected)–I generally find most problems other people find salient not very moving at all (although probably equally strongly moved by extremely near suffering compared to other people, but with a stronger emotional distance discount). EA makes sense in a very different way to me (phenomenologically, probably closest to philosophical high valence states it evokes).
@jlj "A good read: Why I find longtermism hard -- […]" -> Interesting! I don't particularly share that emotional intuition (although my bias probably cuts the other way: I am more moved by interesting projects, and more interesting problems probably also less neglected)–I generally find most problems other people find salient not very moving at all (although probably equally strongly moved by extremely near suffering compared to other people, but with a stronger emotional distance discount). EA makes sense in a very different way to me (phenomenologically, probably closest to philosophical high valence states it evokes).
i can feel your stomach in my bones
i can feel your stomach in my bones
my wish: textbooks are published together with anki flashcards
my wish: textbooks are published together with anki flashcards
men care more than women about longevity?
men care more than women about longevity?
interested in understanding the world of fucking
interested in understanding the world of fucking
sequential decision problems in the water supply
sequential decision problems in the water supply
every state is goal state
for some reason, I really like this pattern of exchange: A:“[controversial/semi-out-of-context thing, said quickly, maybe mutteringly] what?” B [in quick succession]: ”what?” A [also quickly]: “what?” (repeat as often as needed)
rationalist who is okay-ish at forecasting
rationalist who hasn't touched his 100-card anki deck in half a year
rationalist who is cryocrastinating
The automatic mental cut between “I believe this” and “I have to say this”
Men care more than women about longevity?
morning larks like breakfast more?
a twitching robot, if you will
Working hours are not about work, they're about class warfare.
i mean, it's kind of obvious that if you dangle a gigantic “you oughn't think this particular thought” in front of a bunch of nerds, they are abso-fucking-lutely going to think the thought.
It's not widely known, but in fact shopping is just slang for “style hopping”
Daily annoyance: When the change in a metric is given, but it's not clear whether this change was good or bad, because I don't know the metric.
when thinking about metaphysics, i always feel as if i'm either reinventing the aristotelian substance/form distinction or parmenidesian monism or badly compressing deleuze.
Being rational is virtuous
Being rational is virtuous
The epistemic commons are worth protecting. Go and do your signalling with donations or fashion.